Preseason Rankings
St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#178
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace59.2#348
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#282
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#80
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.2% 11.4% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.3
.500 or above 69.5% 74.8% 47.0%
.500 or above in Conference 72.3% 75.7% 57.9%
Conference Champion 13.7% 15.5% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 2.7% 6.3%
First Four2.1% 2.0% 2.2%
First Round9.4% 10.6% 4.1%
Second Round0.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 81.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 1.70.1 - 1.7
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.00.2 - 2.7
Quad 20.3 - 1.30.4 - 4.0
Quad 32.4 - 4.02.8 - 8.0
Quad 413.9 - 5.316.7 - 13.3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 293   Lafayette W 68-61 81%    
  Nov 10, 2018 239   Delaware W 63-59 73%    
  Nov 14, 2018 315   @ Bryant W 71-63 69%    
  Nov 20, 2018 38   @ North Carolina St. L 63-74 10%    
  Nov 24, 2018 132   @ North Texas L 61-64 29%    
  Nov 28, 2018 13   @ Auburn L 61-76 5%    
  Dec 01, 2018 327   Maine W 68-58 88%    
  Dec 04, 2018 18   @ Clemson L 54-68 7%    
  Dec 08, 2018 225   LIU Brooklyn W 68-65 70%    
  Dec 15, 2018 318   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 68-59 68%    
  Dec 19, 2018 252   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 68-64 56%    
  Dec 29, 2018 240   Hampton W 68-64 72%    
  Jan 03, 2019 284   Siena W 63-57 76%    
  Jan 05, 2019 183   @ Monmouth W 65-64 41%    
  Jan 10, 2019 220   @ Fairfield W 66-63 49%    
  Jan 13, 2019 274   Marist W 68-63 76%    
  Jan 17, 2019 291   Manhattan W 62-56 79%    
  Jan 22, 2019 268   @ Niagara W 72-67 57%    
  Jan 27, 2019 238   @ Quinnipiac W 65-61 53%    
  Jan 31, 2019 110   @ Rider L 67-71 27%    
  Feb 02, 2019 291   @ Manhattan W 62-56 62%    
  Feb 07, 2019 183   Monmouth W 65-64 60%    
  Feb 10, 2019 162   Canisius L 64-65 58%    
  Feb 15, 2019 133   @ Iona L 66-69 30%    
  Feb 17, 2019 110   Rider L 67-71 46%    
  Feb 19, 2019 284   @ Siena W 63-57 59%    
  Feb 22, 2019 274   @ Marist W 68-63 56%    
  Feb 24, 2019 268   Niagara W 72-67 75%    
  Mar 01, 2019 238   Quinnipiac W 65-61 70%    
  Mar 03, 2019 220   Fairfield W 66-63 68%    
Projected Record 16.7 - 13.3 10.4 - 7.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.4 3.7 2.9 1.3 0.3 13.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 3.4 4.5 4.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.4 5.1 2.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.1 4.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.2 4.7 1.5 0.1 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.0 1.3 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.5 1.2 0.1 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.9 1.0 0.0 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.8 0.8 0.1 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.3 4.8 7.3 8.8 10.5 11.6 11.7 11.3 9.0 8.4 4.9 3.2 1.3 0.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.0% 1.3    1.2 0.1
16-2 89.6% 2.9    2.3 0.6
15-3 74.7% 3.7    2.5 1.1 0.1
14-4 40.2% 3.4    1.7 1.3 0.4 0.0
13-5 18.1% 1.6    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.6% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.7% 13.7 8.5 4.0 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 70.9% 70.5% 0.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1%
17-1 1.3% 52.0% 50.8% 1.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 2.5%
16-2 3.2% 40.0% 39.1% 0.9% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.9 1.5%
15-3 4.9% 26.2% 26.2% 14.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 3.6
14-4 8.4% 23.9% 23.9% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.3 6.4
13-5 9.0% 14.4% 14.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 7.7
12-6 11.3% 11.4% 11.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 10.0
11-7 11.7% 7.2% 7.2% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 10.8
10-8 11.6% 5.6% 5.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 10.9
9-9 10.5% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.3
8-10 8.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 8.5
7-11 7.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.3
6-12 4.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 4.7
5-13 3.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.3
4-14 1.9% 1.9
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.1 2.8 3.4 89.8 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 5.5 50.9 49.1